Do You Have 750 Million Horses?
july 2023
How many containers can you fit on the back of a horse and cart?
It’s a silly question, I know. But it’s where the world of freight started out – and for over 3000 years it was our only option when it came to transporting cargo. Looking at the world today, it’s hard to imagine that for several thousand years, we mostly moved goods using our equine friends.
You see, your average horse (let’s call him Nelly) could pull around 1.5x its body weight – making a full load of just 1500kg. That’s just 1/20th of your average shipping container. Nelly could travel around 30 miles a day, pulling a fully laden cart. This would mean that it could take nearly 5 days to get from the London docks to my home town in Birmingham.
Not especially efficient…
Fast forward a few hundred years and we’d developed a few more options- steamboats gave us machine-powered transport on the water and freight railroad systems started to make it possible to move goods quicker and in larger quantities across land.
But as a Brummie, born and bred, it’s the canals that interest me most. In my neck of the woods, we’ve a network of 35 miles of canals – that’s more than Venice apparently! The canals were built mostly in the 1700s and 1800s, as a way to transport goods more efficiently.
And it worked.
For over 100 years the canals connected cities, mines and key manufacturing locations, giving people a reliable way to transport goods without relying on horsepower. By the end of the 19th century, nearly 8.5 million tonnes of goods were carried through our canals each year. But canals are costly to maintain, and rail freight was fast, cheaper and more efficient. So over time, the canals became redundant and slowly fell into disrepair.
Today they’re no longer used commercially, but if you ever fancy a quirky short break you can hire a narrowboat and spend a few days cruising the canals yourself. Just be sure the learn how to do the locks first…
It’s hard to imagine a world without machines, electricity, computers and vehicles now. Today there’s over 50,000 cargo ships in the world. Each year 11 billion tons of goods are moved by sea freight. We’d need around 750 million horses to carry all that… (assuming I’ve done my maths right!?!) Back when Nelly was still pulling all the carts around, do you think people could have imagined a future like this? I doubt it…
With AI and robots just around the corner, I wonder what the world of freight transport will look like in the next 100, 200 or 500 years – what do you think?
I’d love to hear your predictions…